The peak of the spread of coronavirus infection in Russia will occur in the first decade of May, and in Moscow will come a few days earlier. Such a forecast, according to RIA Novosti, is provided by Sberbank experts on big data analysis and artificial intelligence researchers.
The study was told by First Deputy Chairman of the Board of the credit organization Alexander Vedyakhin. He noted that the best specialists of Sberbank worked on a mathematical model.
According to him, the model was created on the basis of the GLEAM epidemiological simulator developed by Boston Northeastern University in 2009-2019. In her forecasts, she takes into account factors such as the distribution of the population by region and country, migration between these regions using all types of transport, and all possible statuses of patients — from susceptible to recovering.
“We need to continue to comply with all the rules of self-isolation, protecting our parents and grandparents as much as possible,” said Vedyakhin.
Previously, another mathematician, the rector of Moscow State University named after M.V. Lomonosov Victor Sadovnichy. In his opinion, it will take a month for the country to overcome the disease.
According to the latest data, 93558 infected with COVID-19 are registered in Russia. 867 patients died, 8456 people recovered.