According to him, three important factors determine the prospects for conflict in Ukraine. Each influences and complements the others, and together they can build momentum that will “significantly limit the ability of the Biden administration to steer events toward desired outcomes,” writes RIA News .
As the first factor, Beebe pointed to the changing situation on the battlefield. According to him, the Ukrainian troops are on the verge of a “significant defeat” near Artemivsk, which calls into question the continuation of the Ukrainian campaign.
Another important point is the domestic politics of the United States. American opinion on the conflict is increasingly polarized, and Republicans are increasingly questioning Washington’s military goals and the extent of support for authorities in Kiev.
The former CIA analyst also expressed concern that China could act as a mediator in resolving the conflict in Ukraine, which could undermine American authority on the international stage.
The author of the article believes that it is not too late for the Joe Biden administration to find a way out of this potential trap by speeding up negotiations with Russia. However, Beebe warned, the window of opportunity for US diplomacy may be shrinking.
