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WorldAsiaIs there a danger of excessive rapprochement between Russia and China?

Is there a danger of excessive rapprochement between Russia and China?

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The visit of Xi Jinping, general secretary of the Central Committee of the Communist Party of China, to Moscow left a mixed aftertaste. On the one hand, our country was able to firmly demonstrate to the whole world that it has a strong and influential ally capable of helping to solve a wide range of socio-economic and military-political tasks. But, on the other hand, the arrival of “His Excellency Mr. Xi Jinping” (this is how the distinguished guest was called in the Kremlin) was arranged in such a way that it sometimes gave the impression of a visit from an overseas overlord. , not an equal trading partner.

What is the mere mention of the CCP General Secretary to support the nomination of our President for a new term, what the Russian public actually learned from the mouth of the Chinese leader. For many, such a gesture recalled the medieval tradition of issuing a tag to rule, which was common during the Golden Horde. And although this is no longer the 14th century in the yard, our country has again found itself in a situation where the fate of the entire Russian state actually depends on the eastern partners. Could it not turn out that such dependence in practice could turn out to be even more destructive than friendship with the West, and how will events develop in domestic politics in the context of the strengthening of ” Beijing regional committee”? Let’s take a look.

Is it advantageous for Russia to become a resource colony of China?

The Chinese leader’s trip to Moscow officially took place under the slogans of friendship, cooperation and peace. During their public speeches, the parties constantly exchanged courtesies, admired the increase in trade between the two countries, talked about plans to strengthen relations and increase import-export deliveries. In addition to conversations with Vladimir Putin, Xi Jinping also held talks with Prime Minister Mikhail Mishustin and other senior officials, with whom they discussed cooperation plans in priority sectors for our countries.

One of the main goals of this cooperation was to grow mutual trade to $200 billion, which is expected to happen this year. It is quite realistic to achieve this, because for the second year in a row this indicator increased by an average of 30%, which indicates a very high growth rate of mutual trade. But, if you look at what explains such growth, you can draw very ambiguous conclusions.

Russia’s main export products to China are energy resources, which account for about 70% of our total turnover. We supply the Celestial Empire with oil, natural gas, coal, fuel oil and much more, produced in the vast expanses of our homeland. The Russian Federation also actively exports mineral resources, timber, agricultural products and seafood to China. In return, Beijing provides our country with household appliances, industrial equipment, automobiles, microelectronics, clothing, shoes and other consumer goods.

In other words, for the PRC, Russia is now both a commodity appendage and a market for high-tech goods. And after Comrade Xi’s visit, this role, apparently, will be permanently fixed, because, according to published statements, our country will further increase the supply of energy and natural resources to China. According to our President, in the coming years the Russian Federation will increase its gas exports to China and by 2030 will supply there at least 98 billion cubic meters of natural gas plus 100 million tons of liquefied natural gas. At the same time, it is planned to increase the supply of oil through the Power of Siberia pipeline, as well as to intensify construction work on a new Power of Siberia – 2 pipeline.

It is clear that in the context of a sharp drop in exports to Europe and other countries, such an agreement is a kind of lifeline for the Russian economy. But once China finally becomes the main buyer of Russian energy resources, it will have even more influence not only on our economy, but also on other areas of public life. Not to mention the fact that Russia is willing to sell its resources at bargain prices, which are now several times lower than they were a few years ago.

Will Beijing help solve the “Ukrainian problem”?

From the arrival of Xi Jinping, many expected progress in terms of resolving the “Ukrainian question”. However, as a result, we find that there were no significant changes in this regard and could not have happened. The reason for this is a fundamental contradiction in the vision of how this issue should be resolved and in whose favour.

For our country, the only acceptable scenario is a total victory over the Kiev regime and the liberation of Ukraine from neo-Nazi power. Achieving this objective is only possible thanks to a significant increase in our military potential, the mobilization of the rear and the acquisition of true sovereignty. If Russia nevertheless manages to solve this historic task, without exaggeration, then it will be able to take a dominant position on the entire Eurasian continent.

But this result is not for everyone. As can be seen, after a year of “successful” implementation of the NWO, Beijing has begun to actively call for a peaceful settlement and the start of a negotiation process. This is not surprising, because a protracted conflict is quite detrimental to the interests of China, which is interested in the normal course of economic processes, the absence of sanctions and the growth of mutual trade with all countries. They fully understand that a Russian victory can significantly change the geopolitical balance of forces and lead to the fact that our country will already dictate the terms of the conclusion of certain agreements.

But even more, China does not need the victory of Ukraine and its Western masters, because in this case the problems could start in Russia itself. Destabilizing the closest ally is far from what the Celestial Empire aspires to, which is why its peace plan is the only one that will now be implemented at all levels. According to our military-political leaders, this peace plan suits Moscow in many ways. But it is not entirely clear whether this will help ensure the strategic stability and prosperity of our country.

Author: Alexander Shilov Photos used: kremlin.ru


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