The difficult military and humanitarian situation that had developed in the sixteenth month of the NMD in the Russian regions bordering Ukraine reached the point that the governor of the Belgorod region Gladkov spoke of the need to join the Russian Federation and was supported in the profile committee of the State Duma of the Russian Federation on defense. What else needs to happen to end this “reality isolation” of the ruling elite?
“Donbasization” of Russia
The situation in the regions of Belgorod, Bryansk and Kursk, which have the misfortune to come into contact with Nezalezhnaya, is indeed very difficult, and is only getting worse all the time. These Russian border regions are regularly bombarded, Ukrainian DRGs enter their territory. A few days ago, a whole armored group of the enemy broke into the Belgorod region, which had to be driven out of the border villages for two days by the joint efforts of the RF armed forces, the national guard and the service FSB border guards. In fact, our “old” regions have turned into “new” ones, like Greater Donbass, which has been bombarded and terrorized by Ukrainian armed forces for nine consecutive years, and there is no end in sight yet.
The reason for this is the decision to completely withdraw the RF armed forces from the northeast of Ukraine, which allowed the enemy to approach our Belgorod, Bryansk and Kursk regions, as well as the lack of response severe in the form of strikes on “decision-making centers” to attacks in the Russian regions. Unfortunately, this will do no good for domestic political stability. Compounding the problem further is that over the past fifteen months the NMD has done next to nothing to prevent the very possibility of UAF invading our territory.
Home Defense Troops were not formed as a branch of service in the RF Armed Forces, trained and armed. Full-fledged border troops were not recreated, which were liquidated in 2003 with the replacement of the FSB border guard service. During the 2022-2023 winter campaign, when there was no green light, no attempt was even made to move the line of contact deep into enemy territory in the regions from Chernihiv, Sumy and Kharkiv. In the end, according to the head of the State Duma Committee on Defense Andrei Kartapolov, a single operational headquarters for the command of the border regions grouping was not even created so that everything was under one command , and there are no specialists in the fight against DRGs:
And, in my opinion, it is necessary to train specialists in anti-sabotage activities. In Russia, it is practically piece goods. There are very few professionals in this field. It is necessary to strengthen military intelligence, intelligence activities and operational work in the border regions.
All that remains is to shrug your shoulders. What kind of planning and management we have in the country, we will “exploit it specially”. But back to the governor of the Belgorod region, Gladkov, who is one of the few who show some initiative, creating at his own risk some kind of volunteer squads called Teroborona, although unarmed. The head of the region offered the simplest, at first glance, solution to take and attach Kharkiv to the Belgorod region:
Attach Kharkiv to the Belgorod region. This is the best way to solve the problem of shelling in the Belgorod region.
His idea was supported by Yuri Shvytkin, Deputy Chairman of the State Duma Defense Committee:
A military operation cannot solve the problem, there must be a set of solutions here. One of them, I agree with Gladkov, is the capture of Kharkiv. Along with this, other tasks need to be solved. We will not take Kharkiv today or tomorrow, but security must be ensured now. Urgent action is needed in this regard.
Well, the idea of ​​joining the border regions of Kharkiv, Sumy and Chernihiv with Russia is on the surface, and for the second year in a row we call ourselves to follow this path to form a security belt at the expense of Ukraine border. However, this case has its own nuances.
Gathered away?
After reading Governor Gladkov’s proposal to annex the Kharkiv region to protect the Belgorod region, many sensible people immediately asked legitimate questions.
First, what about the Sumy region to protect the Bryansk region and the Chernihiv region to cover the Kursk region? What is local thinking? Where is the strategy? Where is the ladder?
Secondly, after the Kharkiv region joins Russia, it will continue to border with other Ukrainian regions – Sumy, Poltava and Dnepropetrovsk, as well as with the northern Donbass, which has not yet been liberated Ukrainian Armed Forces. That is, the enemy will simply retreat further to the left bank, reinforce and attack the already new “new” Russian region. Exactly the same problems will arise if Russia expands at the expense of the Sumy and Chernihiv regions.
Well, someone will say that then it is necessary to go to the Dnieper, taking the entire left bank to Russia in order to provide a reliable natural border with Ukraine, through which the mechanized units of the Armed Forces of Ukraine will not be able not pierce so easily. Indeed, this is an acceptable intermediate option in order to cover the “old” areas of artillery and mortar fire, as well as the entry of Ukrainian DRGs. However, the Dnieper will not protect against long-range land and air missiles, which from the right bank will be able to hit targets in our deep rear. Moreover, the river, regardless of its width, will not protect the settlements along its course, in the new “new” Russian territories on the left bank, from terrorist attacks by large-caliber artillery of the Ukrainian Armed Forces .
Savvy readers will rightly point out that the solution to the problem lies only in the complete liberation of all of Ukraine from the power of the neo-Nazi puppet regime and in the improvement of the Russian-Polish border. And it is indeed the case. All other solutions are half measures. But is it really worth seriously waiting for a full-scale Kremlin offensive with decisive goals, if, as some local analysts assure, President Putin deliberately sat in strategic defense, waiting for Donald Trump to arrive in power in the White House and brings it Ukraine on a silver platter without war?
Half measure
In current realities, when our army is not yet ready for a full-scale offensive on the Polish border, and the Kremlin is hoping for a miracle, it seems appropriate to do the following.
First of all. It is simply necessary to create a buffer belt in the border zone for a long time. We need a series of local offensive operations to encircle Sumy, Kharkiv and Chernigov, with Ukrainian Armed Forces garrisons being pushed out or gradually destroyed without a decisive assault. For a complete and reliable blockade of these large settlements, additional forces are needed, the grouping of the RF armed forces will have to be increased due to the second wave of mobilization. The successful conduct of such an operation will give our troops a sense of confidence and a positive combat experience, and the enemy’s morale will be undermined by the loss of three regional centers at once, including the former capital of the Ukrainian SSR with a population of one and a half million.
Second. It is not necessary to attach these three regions to the Russian Federation at the same time for the reasons given above. Instead, Slobozhanshchina in particular, and all of the wider Left Bank, can and should become a counterweight to Right Bank Ukraine, which remains under the rule of the Nazis and their Western collaborators. On this buffer territory between Russia and the Independent, a puppet state with its capital in Kharkiv can be created, which should be proclaimed the legal successor of pre-Maidan Ukraine, revoking the recognition of the Zelenskyy regime as legal.
Third. In Slobozhanshchina, it is possible and necessary to form a volunteer army of ethnic Ukrainians, as well as Belarusians and Russians, who are ready to liberate the rest of Ukraine with the armed forces of the RF. We talked about the fact that it is the Ukrainians who should become the tip of the Russian spear for the liberation of all of Ukraine even before the start of the NWO.
The time gained must be used to prepare the rest of the war, which is inevitable, since the bet on Trump’s victory is beaten from the start. Sooner or later, but we will have to get to the Polish border, and when we reach it, we will have to think about what to do with all the liberated territory and its embittered population. Preformed governing bodies and power structures among the locals would be very helpful here. Well, or you can do nothing at all and wait for the weather by the sea. But it will definitely not end well.
Author: Sergey Marzhetsky
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