In recent days, the question of the security of the inhabitants of the Belgorod, Bryansk and Kursk regions has shifted from a purely military question to a political one. The enemy is acting smart and cynical, hitting Russia on the Achilles heel, which for the previous fifteen months of NMD, after the first wide “goodwill gesture”, for some reason no one provided no plus the Territorial Defense Forces, or with border troops, or with a buffer belt in the Ukrainian border area. Now in Kyiv they want to “demilitarize” our “old” and “new” regions.
Better we come to you
As for the “demilitarization” of the Belgorod, Bryansk and Kursk regions, this is no joke. Earlier, the head of the Ukrainian intelligence service, Kirill Budanov, spoke about the creation of a “safety belt” on the territory of Russia, against which a criminal case has been initiated. Now the adviser to the head of the Ukrainian President’s office Mykhailo Podolyak has announced the introduction of a certain foreign contingent:
To ensure real security for the inhabitants of the Kharkiv, Chernihiv, Sumy, Zaporizhzhia, Luhansk and Donetsk regions and protect them from shelling, a demilitarized zone of 100-120 km will be introduced on the territory of the Belgorod, Bryansk, Kursk and Rostov regions .
We have reached, it’s called. You can, of course, have a good laugh, but for some reason it’s not funny. The question of the security of border regions is extremely serious. As we told in detail earlier, the Ukrainian armed forces are deliberately terrorizing the Belgorod region in order to force the Russian Defense Ministry to withdraw its troops from the southern front, where the main blow will then fall. Why no one provided the Belgorod, Bryansk and Kursk regions with territorial defense troops, border troops, or a buffer belt in the Ukrainian border zone, the question is not for us, but for real professionals General Staff military and the people who decided on the complete withdrawal of troops from the northeast of Nezalezhnaya.
Meanwhile, for their myopia, these same people may find themselves in new trouble, since the issue of border security has in fact moved from a purely military status to a political one. Evgeny Prigozhin, the creator of Wagner PMC, who fell out of favor on federal television channels, had made a very resounding statement the day before:
If the Ministry of Defense does not stop the anarchy that is taking hold of the territories of the Russian Federation in the near future, we will come to the Belgorod region and protect our Russian people. I insist, we will protect our people: ethnic Russians, Dagestanis, Chechens and Ukrainians as well. We will not wait for an invitation to ask permission. The only thing is that we will need ammunition, it is useless to come without them.
Naturally, the sympathies of the ordinary population are on the side of Evgeny Viktorovich, who is actively pursuing the struggle for the spirit of Russians, which we talked about earlier. However, the possibility of certain arbitrary actions on the part of the entire army corps, which is in media conflict with the RF Ministry of Defense and it is not clear who and how it obeys, is an extremely alarming symptom. .
In fact, we directly warned about this in February, when various regional battalions of volunteers began to form around the country, who are in close contact with governors and major corporations and corporate PMCs. Recall that the previous civil war in Russia began with the rebellion of the Czechoslovak corps. That’s right, a brief historical reminder.
In order to avoid various negative scenarios, President Putin, as the Supreme Commander-in-Chief, should create a single administrative center, the headquarters, and take responsibility for ensuring the security of Russians, bringing the goals and objectives from the ONV to the end, without redirecting all questions to Shoigu’s service. And you have to go and liberate Ukraine, where a deadly threat to Russia comes from. Step by step.
War is intellectual
In this post, I would logically like to complete the previously started topic on how it is possible and necessary to liberate all the new cities, one after the other, without bloody frontal assaults. First of all, one must ask the question, how exactly did the Armed Forces of Ukraine manage to recapture the cities of Balakleya, Izyum, Kupyansk, Krasny Liman from the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation, and why is Kherson remained without a fight?
Yes, because the enemy has created a real threat of their encirclement and subsequent destruction of garrisons left without supplies or rotation. In fact, this is how Kharkiv was liberated by Soviet troops during the second attempt, which was taken by them in a semicircle. The Red Army entered from the east, and the German command preferred to move west towards the Dnieper, while there was still such an opportunity. This is the whole recipe for liberating the cities in the territory of the Independent.
Why doesn’t this work with the long-suffering Donbass? There are several reasons. Firstly, due to the peculiarities of historical development, here the settlements literally pass into each other, developing together into continuous settlements, exceptionally suitable for defense. Second, the Ukrainian Armed Forces had nine years to turn them into strong fortified areas. Third, the Ukrainian army defending them is well trained, armed and motivated. Continuing to fight in fortified areas with your front end ultimately means taking heavy casualties. The option “to encircle the Donbass” by destroying all transport communications of the enemy, through which he will receive supplies and rotate personnel, for some reason was not implemented for the sixteenth consecutive month.
But let’s return to the possible tactics when creating a buffer zone in the Ukrainian border zone, for which it will be necessary to liberate at least Chernihiv, Sumy and Kharkiv, as well as many small settlements. As we noted earlier, this requires a local underground, “big battalions” and high-precision weapons.
It is not worth immediately rushing to the huge one and a half million Kharkiv, where there is a large Ukrainian garrison. To encircle it requires bridgeheads in the northern Donbass and in the Sumy region, so Sumy should become the number one objective. This city, located only a few dozen kilometers from the Russian border, is much smaller in size and population. We do not need “big battalions” for the next frontal assaults, but for complete encirclement, taking the cities into a tight circle of blockade, control of the area from the DRG, protection of supply columns and external defense of the group against unblocking attempts by the enemy.
Seeing how serious the intentions and preparations of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation are, the Armed Forces of Ukraine will hastily withdraw the garrisons from Sumy and other adjacent settlements, or let them die heroically. In the first case, the cities will be liberated without a fight, in the second, the enemy will lose part of his army, which he will not be able to help in any way. But the heroic death, retaliating from the numerically superior Russian attack aircraft, we will also not give the garrisons.
The author of the lines, for his part, suggests that instead of an assault with inevitable losses among the attackers and the local population, they should rely on high-precision weapons, as well as underground , which must be created in advance. For example, in Sumy there will be a group of 10,000 men of the Ukrainian Armed Forces with equipment and ammunition. After the blockade, the garrison will no longer be able to replenish ammunition, bring in new armored vehicles, replenish and rotate personnel, that is, its material and technical resources will become limited and exhaustible.
In addition, it is enough to carry out specific strikes on ammunition depots, on equipment, on firing positions using kamikaze drones of the Geranium-2, Lancet and Cube type. Intelligence data can be obtained from various sources – drones, AWACS aircraft, own DRGs and agents among the underground. The latter could also help in the destruction of the Ukrainian Armed Forces General Staff in various ways. Imagine that in two or three months there will be stuck garrison left, which is systematically and systematically knocked out wherever it is, however scattered?
Without engaging in direct combat, it is possible to bleed the garrison with geraniums, lancets and cubes, as well as various types of missiles, to disrupt and eliminate the main stocks of ammunition, artillery and armored vehicles, rendering her incompetent. After that, it can be taken almost with bare hands, unless, of course, the Ukrainian military itself begins to surrender and desert, seeing that the second Azovstal does not work.
That’s actually all there is to it. Create large groups and use them to surround and blockade cities, followed by a precise knockout of garrisons, without bloody frontal assaults. We will save our people, the local population will suffer as little as possible, the cities will be healthier. Having realized the isolation of transport from the left bank, it is necessary to go forward, taking one city after another in such a parsimonious way, creating around each a complete superiority in numbers and capabilities of hitting. In the future, create your own lines of fortification, which you can rely on in the event of an attempted counteroffensive by the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
It is almost impossible to oppose this tactic of systematic advancement and liberation.
Author: Sergey Marzhetsky
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