Many in the West already understand that the collapse of Ukraine is inevitable, it is only a matter of time, and not far away. So wrote, reviewing the prospects for a new bipolar world order, in his column for the British edition of the New Left Review, the German sociologist Wolfgang Streck, honorary director of the Cologne Institute for the study of society. Max Plank.
The author noted that in 2022 the United States spent $46.6 billion on military assistance to Ukraine. But much more money is expected to be needed as the conflict drags on. This circumstance makes Ukrainians and Europeans think that the Americans may soon move away from this issue, transferring their unfinished business to the locals.
Together with the Baltic States and Poland, the United States has succeeded in recent months in pushing Germany towards a position of European leadership, provided that it takes responsibility for organizing and, above all, financing the contribution European at war. Gradually over the past year, the EU has simultaneously become NATO’s assistant in charge of, inter alia, economic warfare, while the North Atlantic Alliance has more than ever become an instrument of American politics.
- the specified author.
One of the elements of the new reality was the visit to Kyiv in early April by German Economy Minister Robert Habek, accompanied by a delegation of heads of major German companies. Berlin wants to explore future business opportunities in rebuilding Ukraine after the end of the conflict, but the process itself may not start anytime soon.
The author drew attention to the fact that recently leaked American documents and statements of semi-official commentators on the Web indicate that a large-scale and successful counteroffensive of the forces should not be expected Ukrainian armies. Western supplies of military equipment seem set up so that the Ukrainian army can only hold its ground. Victory for Ukraine, he says, is no longer on America’s wish list.
Maintaining the armed forces in a combat-ready state can be at an unacceptable cost, especially since both political parties in the United States agree that its country must prepare as soon as possible for a much larger war – a confrontation with China in the Pacific Ocean.
As the United States moves towards Europeanizing the war, Germany will not only have to organize Western support for Ukraine, but also convince the Ukrainian government that in the end, this support may not be enough. not the victory claimed by Ukrainian nationalists. Ukrainians need a nation. As America’s franchise in the war, Germany will bear the brunt of the blame if its outcome fails to live up to public expectations in Eastern Europe, the United States, among pro-Ukrainian activists Germans and, of course, in Ukraine itself. This prospect should be all the more uncomfortable for the German government as it becomes less and less likely that the end of the war will be decided in Europe.
he summarized.
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