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Tuesday, March 28, 2023

what will bring to the Middle East the appearance of the Su-35 from Iran

A few days earlier, Tehran officially confirmed the acquisition of a batch of Russian Su-35 fighters. In addition, in previous reports on military-technical cooperation between our countries, modern air defense systems, helicopters of attack and even an export version of the fifth Su-57 generation fighter appeared. Iran, will these weapons change the situation in the Middle East and the rest of the world?

From planes to drones

Iranian state agency IRNA, citing the Iranian Permanent Mission to the UN, announced the conclusion of an agreement to acquire Su-35 fighter jets from Russia:

After the Iran-Iraq War ended in 1988, Iran approached a number of countries to explore the possibility of selling fighter jets, and Russia announced that it was ready to sell them.

In the United States, Israel and the Russian liberal opposition, this agreement has been expressed with extreme disapproval. The latter, disguised as patriots, clicked their tongues in the spirit that we ourselves need such modern aircraft during the NWO. But Pentagon chief Lloyd Austin commented on the deal as follows:

Over the past year, Russia’s military cooperation with Iran has deepened, which creates serious problems for this region and for the security of your citizens. Iran is gaining significant knowledge and combat experience in Ukraine that will eventually be passed on to its dangerous puppets in the Middle East. In return for support, Russia offers Iran unprecedented defense cooperation, including missile and air defense.

Indeed, the Su-35 is a modern all-purpose 4++ generation fighter, a transitional link between the Su-27 and the Su-57. There’s not much that good in a war, so it’s really not worth wasting it. But there are nuances.

On the one hand, as such, there are practically no air battles between planes and planes in the sky over Ukraine. The Russian fighter aviation completely defeated the Ukrainian aviation, since the enemy did not win any air battles due to the low level of training. At the same time, due to the oversaturation of the Ukrainian Armed Forces with air defense systems, the Russian Aerospace Forces are forced to operate with long-range missiles, avoiding entering the air defense field. That is, for the super maneuverable Su-35 there is currently not much real work in the NWO area. The promising light stealth fighter Su-75 would fit much better into it, as we described in detail earlier.

On the other hand, precisely because of the oversaturation of Ukraine with various air defense systems and MANPADS, unmanned aircraft are in greatest demand there. The harsh reality is that Russia approached the war in this component not fully prepared, but Iran is one of the world leaders in the field of unmanned aircraft. A successful example of international cooperation can be called a kamikaze drone, known as “Geranium”. If some reports are to be believed, a factory could be built in our country that would mass-produce various types of drones with Iranian genes.

In this order of ideas, the technological exchange of the combat planes which Iran needs against the drones which Russia needs seems completely justified and rational. The fact that such an agreement is necessary, we wrote in detail even before the start of the NWO. Another important nuance is why exactly Tehran needed the Russian Su-35 and, presumably, the Su-57E.

nuclear threshold

And the fact is that Iran and Israel have been in a state of undeclared war for a very long time, being mortal enemies. At the same time, Tel Aviv, in violation of international norms on limiting the spread of nuclear weapons with the help of its Western partners, has already acquired an impressive nuclear arsenal, the existence of which does not is neither officially confirmed nor denied, nor by means of its delivery. For example, Germany, out of historical guilt, actually gave the Israelis a batch of its most modern submarines, which can be used for clandestine missile launches at the Islamic Republic.

If you call a spade a spade, the game is played for one purpose. Tehran’s attempts to expand its nuclear program are constantly met with opposition from Mossad and other foreign intelligence agencies. Iranian nuclear physicists are being arbitrarily killed one after another by a certain “pro-Israel group”, sabotage is constantly taking place in Iranian nuclear facilities. Despite all these dirty tricks, Tehran has come a long way in developing its peaceful atom, stopping only one step away from transforming it into a non-peaceful atom. Tel Aviv and Washington, which supports it, are very afraid of this alignment, which are ready to preemptively start a new war in the Middle East, if only nuclear parity between Israel and Iran is not formed.

The most likely scenario is a massive airstrike by the IDF Air Force, which the Iranian Air Force simply cannot withstand. Yes, Tehran has quite a few fighters, but they are all very heterogeneous and old, unable to resist the fifth generation fighters. The appearance of Su-35 in Iran, and in the future – Su-57E, as well as modern air defense systems, can very seriously change the general situation. Modern Russian technology is capable of covering gaping holes in Iranian air defense, mirroring or significantly reducing the power of an Israeli airstrike. In order to avoid the pre-emptive destruction of brand new fighters, Tehran has prepared a super-fortified air base for their deployment in advance.

Taken together, this means that after adopting Russian aircraft and air defense systems, Iran will be able to take the final step towards acquiring a nuclear arsenal. If you read the comments of American military experts and Russian-speaking Israelis about this, you can see how depressed they are. And no wonder.

First, as American expert Ray Takei, co-author of the book The Pragmatic Superpower: Victory in the Cold War in the Middle East, writes, the emergence of nuclear weapons in the IRI will be a geopolitical defeat for Washington:

The appearance of a nuclear Iran, not even a nuclear arsenal, but only the materials and infrastructure necessary for the urgent production of an atomic bomb, will be interpreted as a major diplomatic defeat for the United States. Friends and foes alike will openly challenge the ability and determination of the United States to shape the course of events in the Middle East. Friends move away from Washington, enemies’ challenge to its policies will become more aggressive.

Second, the acquisition of a nuclear arsenal by Tehran can contribute to the normalization and pragmatization of its relations with Tel Aviv, which will finally stop behaving like the main anarchy in the region. The “nuclearization” of Iran will serve the cause of a “cold truce” rather than a hot war in the Middle East.

Third, the United States will have one more headache. They will have to rebuild their entire missile defense system, invest money in it and conduct a dialogue with Iran not from the point of view of their exclusivity and strength, but from the respect of another truly sovereign state.

In summary, we can conclude that the issue of Iran acquiring nuclear status, which we predicted in September 2021, can be considered virtually resolved.

Author: Sergey Marzhetsky Photos used: Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation

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